The Economic Boom that Will Resume, 98k PDF
Interview with Roger Cass by Peter Leyden and Jay Ogilvy of GBN,
September 2001

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"Fast Company" July 2001 article "Roger Cass, The Last Optimist"
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Prophesies, Predictions, and Promises for the Future
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Born in Hull, England, Mr. Cass graduated with honors from Christs College, Cambridge University, studied at Heidelberg University in Germany, and received an MBA from the University of British Columbia, Vancouver. After four years in export marketing with the Continental Grain Company and Reckitt and Colman Ltd, Mr.Cass in 1966 joined the Royal Trust Company in Montreal, Canada's largest institutional investor with over $30 bill. under management, where he became the chief international economist responsible for advising international investment portfolios, personally managed the U.S. portfolio of the company pension fund, and was a member of the U.S.investment policy committee.

In 1971 Mr.Cass joined the Shareholders Capital Corp. of Los Angeles, a diversified financial services company with interests in fund management, real estate, and executive search. As Senior Vice President, Director of Research, and Chief Economist, Mr. Cass supervised a team of twenty analysts and the investment of over $3 bill. in assets, and managed the international investment fund.

In 1974, following the acquisition of Shareholders by the American General Insurance Company of Houston, Mr.Cass founded and became President of Cass Research Associates, which over the past thirty years has provided strategic consulting services on global investment and business strategies to many of the worlds leading multinational and financial corporations (see "Clients"). Currently Cass Research Associates is advising investment management firms with $2.7 trillion under management on their global portfolio strategies.

Mr Cass has spent the past thirty years researching and documenting the critical role played by the interaction of technological innovation and liquidity or credit cycles in long waves of economic activity. Over this period, "C-Wave" analysis, as presented in our quarterly "International Perspective" reports, has a proven record of accurately predicting the key global economic and political developments and turning points in the domestic U.S. and international economic cycles, including the following:

"Third World Debt - The Crumbling Pyramid" (1976), which predicted the Third World debt crisis and global recession of the early 1980's.

"Saudi Arabia and the Middle East - The New Balkans" (1979-92 - 4 vols.), which predicted the collapse of OPEC power and oil prices in the 1980's.

"Iraqnophobia" (1980), which predicted the regional expansionism of Saddam Hussein and the invasions of Iran and Kuwait.

"The Soviet Economy in Crisis" (1987), which predicted the imminent collapse of the Soviet Union and eastern bloc communism.

"Is America in Decline?" (1988), which refuted then prevailing forecasts of American imperial overstretch and economic decline.

"Tokyomania and Other Bubbles" and "The Emperor has no Clothes" (1989), which predicted the imminent collapse of the Japanese "Bubble Economy" and a plunge in the Nikkei to the 12,000 level from its almost 40,000 high.

"The New Belle Epoque" (April-1992), which predicted the record US economic expansion of the 1990's, and a "New Economy" based on surging high-tech investment and productivity growth.

"A Millenial Perspective" (Nov-1999), which predicted the imminent end of the "Dot.com Bubble", the downturn in IT capex, and projected declines in the DJIA and S&P to lows of 9300 and 1140 respectively.

"The Long Boom Resumes: Yes Virginia, There is a New Economy" (March-2002), which predicted a renewed secular U.S. and global economic expansion and worldwide bull market by mid-2002.

Copyright 2008 Cass Research Associates. All rights reserved. For further information regarding our consulting services, International Perspective reports and C-Wave theory, please email Cass Research Associates